%PDF-1.4 % 5 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (chapter*.1) >> endobj 8 0 obj (Preface) endobj 9 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (chapter.3) >> endobj 12 0 obj (Introduction) endobj 13 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.4) >> endobj 16 0 obj (Invasive Meningococcal Disease \(IMD\)) endobj 17 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.6) >> endobj 20 0 obj (Available Data) endobj 21 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.7) >> endobj 24 0 obj (Shapefiles) endobj 25 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.8) >> endobj 28 0 obj (Cases of IMD) endobj 29 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.19) >> endobj 32 0 obj (Cases of Influenza) endobj 33 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.24) >> endobj 36 0 obj (Data Preparation) endobj 37 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (chapter.28) >> endobj 40 0 obj (Point Process Theory and a Preliminary Model) endobj 41 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.29) >> endobj 44 0 obj (Basics of the Theory of Point Processes) endobj 45 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.30) >> endobj 48 0 obj (Basic Definitions) endobj 49 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.33) >> endobj 52 0 obj (Conditional Intensity Function and Likelihoods) endobj 53 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.44) >> endobj 56 0 obj (A Preliminary Point Process Model) endobj 57 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (chapter.45) >> endobj 60 0 obj (Numerical Integration) endobj 61 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.46) >> endobj 64 0 obj (Quadrature) endobj 65 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.48) >> endobj 68 0 obj (Newton-Cotes Rules) endobj 69 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.50) >> endobj 72 0 obj (Gaussian Quadrature) endobj 73 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.52) >> endobj 76 0 obj (Monte Carlo Integration) endobj 77 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.57) >> endobj 80 0 obj (Cubature) endobj 81 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.60) >> endobj 84 0 obj (A Two-Dimensional Midpoint Rule \(polyint.midpoint\)) endobj 85 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.62) >> endobj 88 0 obj (A Two-Dimensional Trapezoidal Rule \(polyint.linear\)) endobj 89 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.67) >> endobj 92 0 obj (Adaptive Cubature \(polyint.adapt\)) endobj 93 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.69) >> endobj 96 0 obj (Monte Carlo Integration \(polyint.mc.uniform, polyint.mc.gauss\)) endobj 97 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.73) >> endobj 100 0 obj (Product Gauss Cubature \(polyint.SV\)) endobj 101 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.78) >> endobj 104 0 obj (Specific Methods for the Bivariate Normal Density \(polyint.AS\)) endobj 105 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.82) >> endobj 108 0 obj (Comparison of the Presented Methods) endobj 109 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (chapter.93) >> endobj 112 0 obj (Spatio-Temporal Modelling and Inference) endobj 113 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.94) >> endobj 116 0 obj (Modelling Infection Dynamics) endobj 117 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.95) >> endobj 120 0 obj (A Review on Modelling Earthquakes) endobj 121 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.99) >> endobj 124 0 obj (Additive-Multiplicative Spatio-Temporal Conditional Intensity Model) endobj 125 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.117) >> endobj 128 0 obj (Type-Specific twinstim) endobj 129 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.121) >> endobj 132 0 obj (Inference) endobj 133 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.124) >> endobj 136 0 obj (Log-Likelihood Function) endobj 137 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.129) >> endobj 140 0 obj (Score Function) endobj 141 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (subsection.134) >> endobj 144 0 obj (Fisher Information Matrix, Uncertainty, Model Selection) endobj 145 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.136) >> endobj 148 0 obj (Implementation) endobj 149 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.141) >> endobj 152 0 obj (A Tricky but Insufficient Alternative) endobj 153 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (chapter.144) >> endobj 156 0 obj (Application) endobj 157 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.146) >> endobj 160 0 obj (Finetype B:P1.7-2,4:F1-5) endobj 161 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.160) >> endobj 164 0 obj (Finetype C:P1.5,2:F3-3) endobj 165 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (section.172) >> endobj 168 0 obj (Joint Modelling of Both Finetypes) endobj 169 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (chapter.181) >> endobj 172 0 obj (Discussion and Outlook) endobj 173 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (chapter*.182) >> endobj 176 0 obj (Bibliography) endobj 177 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (appendix.183) >> endobj 180 0 obj (Contents of the Enclosed CD) endobj 181 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (appendix.184) >> endobj 184 0 obj (Model Selection Steps for Finetype B:P1.7-2,4:F1-5) endobj 185 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D (appendix.195) >> endobj 188 0 obj (Model Selection Steps for Finetype C:P1.5,2:F3-3) endobj 189 0 obj << /S /GoTo /D [190 0 R /Fit ] >> endobj 192 0 obj << /Length 597 /Filter /FlateDecode >> stream xڕSr0+tC,#!3&Jil)ﻊT%j>dK8y78V!Y!K M DҤZ/a6_?|ws0)+5]Rf)mbYh٭e_+%ʐEȄд;2c)M@b}4;n@?t`hz3C