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Jaspersen, Johannes G.; Peter, Richard und Ragin, Marc A. (2022): Probability weighting and insurance demand in a unified framework. In: Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Bd. 48, Nr. 1: S. 63-109 [PDF, 2MB]

Abstract

We provide a comprehensive analysis of the impact of probability weighting on optimal insurance demand in a unified framework. We identify decreasing relative overweighting as a new local condition on the probability weighting function that is useful for comparative static analysis. We discuss the effects of probability weighting on coinsurance, deductible choice, insurance demand for low-probability, high-impact risks versus high-probability, low-impact risks, and insurance demand in the presence of nonperformance risk. Probability weighting can make better or worse predictions than expected utility depending on the insurance demand problem at hand.

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