|Mayo-Wilson, Conor (December 2011): The Problem of Piecemeal Induction. In: Philosophy of Science, Vol. 78, No. 5: pp. 864-874|
I argue that, in causal inference from many observational studies, the piecemeal collection of data can cause underdetermination, even if arbitrarily large amounts of reliable data are available. Two theorems reveal that, for any variable set V, there are causal theories over V that can be distinguished if and only if all variables are simultaneously measured. These results entail that, a priori, one cannot know which observational studies will be most informative with respect to the true causal theory describing V. Hence, scientific institutions may need to play a larger role in coordinating differing research programs.
|Faculties:||Philosophy, Philosophy of Science and Religious Science > Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy (MCMP)|
Philosophy, Philosophy of Science and Religious Science > Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy (MCMP) > Philosophy of Science
|Subjects:||100 Philosophy and Psychology > 100 Philosophy|
|Deposited On:||02. Mar 2014 10:23|
|Last Modified:||29. Apr 2016 09:15|