Confirmation by Explanation: A Bayesian Justification of IBE

Tesic, Marko; Eva, Benjamin und Hartmann, Stephan (14. August 2017): Confirmation by Explanation: A Bayesian Justification of IBE.

Abstract

We provide a novel Bayesian justification of inference to the best explanation (IBE). More specifically, we present conditions under which explanatory considerations can provide a significant confirmatory boost for hypotheses that provide the best explanation of the relevant evidence. Furthermore, we show that the proposed Bayesian model of IBE is able to deal naturally with the best known criticisms of IBE such as van Fraassen?s ?bad lot? argument.

• Dokumententyp: Zeitschriftenartikel
• Publikationsform: Preprint
• Keywords: Inference to the best explanation, Bayesianism, Confirmation, The bad lot objection
• Fakultät: Philosophie, Wissenschaftstheorie und Religionswissenschaft > Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy (MCMP) ; Philosophie, Wissenschaftstheorie und Religionswissenschaft > Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy (MCMP) > Philosophy of Science ; Philosophie, Wissenschaftstheorie und Religionswissenschaft > Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy (MCMP) > Epistemology
• Themengebiete: 100 Philosophie und Psychologie > 100 Philosophie
• Sprache: Englisch