Forecasting revisions of German industrial production

Bührig, Pascal und Wohlrabe, Klaus (2016): Forecasting revisions of German industrial production. In: Applied Economics Letters, Bd. 23, Nr. 15: S. 1062-1064

Abstract

Macroeconomic variables, such as industrial production or GDP, are regularly and sometimes substantially revised by the official statistical offices. Nevertheless, there are only few attempts in the previous literature to investigate whether it is possible to forecast these revisions systematically. In this article, it is illustrated how revisions of German industrial production can be forecasted with respect to both the direction and the level of the revision. We are the first to use a large data set for this purpose.

• Dokumententyp: Zeitschriftenartikel
• Fakultät: Volkswirtschaft
• Themengebiete: 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft
• ISSN: 1350-4851
• Sprache: Englisch