Abstract
We conduct a representative survey experiment in Germany to understand why people support inefficient policies. In particular, we measure beliefs about and preferences for rent control – a policy that is widely regarded as harmful by experts. To tease out causal mechanisms, we provide randomly selected subsets of participants with empirical estimates about the effects of rent control on rent prices and housing supply and with information about the consensus among economists against rent control. We find that people update their beliefs and that this leads to lower demand for rent control. Left-wingers update their beliefs more strongly, which reduces the ideological gap in support for rent control by about one-third. Providing information about economists’ rejection of this policy leads to the largest reduction in support. However, the main drivers of support for rent control are fairness considerations and profit motives. Our study also highlights the importance of trust in expert advice since treatment effects are consistently larger among those who indicate trust in expert advice. Finally, an obfuscated follow-up survey conducted three weeks later reveals that the effects, both on support for rent control and on beliefs, persist only for those who trust.
Dokumententyp: | Paper |
---|---|
Keywords: | beliefs, demand for bad policies, housing supply, rent control, survey experiment, trust in experts |
Fakultät: | Volkswirtschaft > Lehrstühle > Lehrstuhl für Finanzwissenschaft |
Themengebiete: | 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 330 Wirtschaft |
JEL Classification: | H10, H30, H31 |
URN: | urn:nbn:de:bvb:19-epub-76568-0 |
Sprache: | Englisch |
Dokumenten ID: | 76568 |
Datum der Veröffentlichung auf Open Access LMU: | 13. Jul. 2021, 10:31 |
Letzte Änderungen: | 13. Jul. 2021, 10:32 |
Literaturliste: | Azen, R., and D. V. Budescu (2003): "The dominance analysis approach for comparing predictors in multiple regression," Psychological Methods, 8(2), 129-148. Brandts, J., I. Busom, C. Lopez-Mayán, and J. Panadés (2019): "Dispelling Misconceived Beliefs about Rent Control: Insights from a Field and a Laboratory Experiment," Available at SSRN 3384538. Caplan, B. (2002): "Systematically biased beliefs about economics: robust evidence of judgemental anomalies from the survey of Americans and economists on the economy," The Economic Journal, 112(479), 433-458. Dal Bó, E., P. Dal Bó, and E. Eyster (2018): "The demand for bad policy when voters underappreciate equilibrium effects," The Review of Economic Studies, 85(2), 964-998. Davis, L. W., and L. Kilian (2011): "The allocative cost of price ceilings in the US residential market for natural gas," Journal of Political Economy, 119(2), 212-241. Diamond, R., T. McQuade, and F. Qian (2019): "The effects of rent control expansion on tenants, landlords, and inequality: Evidence from San Francisco," American Economic Review, 109(9), 3365-94. Friedman, M., and G. J. Stigler (1946): Roofs or Ceilings?: The Current Housing Problem. Foundation for Economic Education. Glaeser, E. L., and E. F. Luttmer (2003): "The misallocation of housing under rent control," American Economic Review, 93(4), 1027-1046. Haaland, I., C. Roth, and J. Wohlfart (2021): "Designing information provision experiments," Journal of Economic Literature. Haferkamp, A., D. Fetchenhauer, F. Belschak, and D. Enste (2009): "Effciency versus fairness: The evaluation of labor market policies by economists and laypeople," Journal of Economic Psychology, 30(4), 527-539. Jacob, R., F. Christandl, and D. Fetchenhauer (2011): "Economic experts or laypeople? How teachers and journalists judge trade and immigration policies," Journal of Economic Psychology, 32(5), 662-671. Kallbekken, S., S. Kroll, and T. L. Cherry (2011): "Do you not like Pigou, or do you not understand him? Tax aversion and revenue recycling in the lab," Journal ofEnvironmental Economics and Management, 62(1), 53-64. Sapienza, P., and L. Zingales (2013): "Economic experts versus average Americans," American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, 103(3), 636-42. Sausgruber, R., and J.-R. Tyran (2005): "Testing the Mill hypothesis of fiscal illusion," Public choice, 122(1-2), 39-68. (2011): "Are we taxing ourselves?: How deliberation and experience shape voting on taxes," Journal of Public Economics, 95(1-2), 164-176. Stantcheva, S. (2020): "Understanding tax policy: How do people reason?," NBERWorking Paper. |