Conservative traits and managerial forecasting style

Bormann, Sara; Claassen, Debbie; Hofmann, Christian und Schwaiger, Nina (2020): Conservative traits and managerial forecasting style. In: Journal of Business Economics, Vol. 90, No. 3: pp. 335-368

Abstract

We investigate whether conservatism as a personality trait, measured by managers’ signatures, influences managers’ forecasting style. Building on upper echelons theory and psychology literature, we predict that conservative personality traits such as the resistance to change and the ensuing cautiousness in updating beliefs influence managers’ forecasts. Our findings suggest that conservative CFOs more likely select earnings as compared to revenues as the main KPI of the forecast, keep the same KPI across years, and issue specific forecasts. Finally, we provide some evidence that conservative CFOs issue more accurate forecasts.

• Item Type: Journal article
• Faculties: Munich School of Management > Institute for Accounting and Control
• Subjects: 300 Social sciences > 330 Economics
• ISSN: 0044-2372
• Language: English