Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote

Graefe, Andreas; Armstrong, J. Scott; Jones, Randall J. und Cuzán, Alfred G. (2013): Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote. In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Nr. 28: S. 50-51

Abstract

The article discusses the PollyVote 2012 forecast in the U.S. It states that since its appearance in 2004, it has already demonstrated the value of combined forecasts to anticipate the two-party popular vote in the presidential elections. It notes the component methods of the PollyVote including trial-heat polls, econometric models, and index models. Its accurate prediction for the reelection bid of President Barack Obama is also emphasized.

• Dokumententyp: Zeitschriftenartikel
• Fakultät: Sozialwissenschaften > Kommunikationswissenschaft
• Themengebiete: 300 Sozialwissenschaften > 380 Handel, Kommunikation, Verkehr
• ISSN: 1555-9068
• Sprache: Englisch