Graefe, Andreas; Armstrong, J. Scott; Jones, Randall J. and Cuzán, Alfred G.
(2013):
Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote.
In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, No. 28: pp. 50-51
Abstract
The article discusses the PollyVote 2012 forecast in the U.S. It states that since its appearance in 2004, it has already demonstrated the value of combined forecasts to anticipate the two-party popular vote in the presidential elections. It notes the component methods of the PollyVote including trial-heat polls, econometric models, and index models. Its accurate prediction for the reelection bid of President Barack Obama is also emphasized.
| Item Type: | Journal article |
|---|---|
| Faculties: | Social Sciences > Communication |
| Subjects: | 300 Social sciences > 380 Commerce, communications and transportation |
| ISSN: | 1555-9068 |
| Language: | English |
| Item ID: | 108202 |
| Date Deposited: | 24. Nov 2023, 07:29 |
| Last Modified: | 24. Nov 2023, 07:29 |
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