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Baki, Enayatullah ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-4766-2781; Baumgart, Lea; Kehl, Victoria; Hess, Felix; Wolff, Andreas Wolfgang; Wagner, Arthur; Hernandez Petzsche, Moritz Roman; Boeckh-Behrens, Tobias; Hemmer, Bernhard ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5985-6784; Meyer, Bernhard; Gempt, Jens und Wunderlich, Silke (2024): Predictors of malignant swelling in space-occupying cerebellar infarction. In: Stroke and Vascular Neurology [Forthcoming]

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Abstract

Background : Malignant swelling is a fatal complication that can occur abruptly in space-occupying cerebellar infarction. We aimed to establish markers that predict malignant swelling in cerebellar infarction. Methods : We retrospectively analysed data of stroke patients who were treated in our hospital between 2014 and 2020. Malignant swelling was defined as a mass effect in the posterior cranial fossa, accompanied by a decrease in consciousness due to compression of the brainstem and/or the development of obstructive hydrocephalus. Statistical analyses were performed on multiple variables to identify predictors of malignant swelling. Results : Among 7284 stroke patients, we identified 487 patients with an infarct in the cerebellum. 93 patients were suitable for analysis having space-occupying cerebellar infarction. 33 of 93 (35.5%) patients developed malignant swelling. Multivariable analysis revealed infarct volume as the main predictor being independently associated with the development of malignant swelling with a cut-off infarct volume of 38 cm3 being associated with a swelling rate of >50% (OR 32.0, p<0.001). Higher NIHSS (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale) score on admission (median NIHSS 12 vs 4, OR 1.078; p=0.008) and the presence of additional brainstem infarction (51.5% vs 16.7%, OR 5.312; p=0.013) were associated with the development of malignant swelling in univariate analyses. 13 of 33 (39.4%) cases of malignant swellings occurred after more than 3 days. Conclusions : Infarct volume was the key significant predictor of malignant swelling in space-occupying cerebellar infarction. With many cases of malignant swelling occurring after more than 72 hours, we advocate prolonged neurological monitoring.

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