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Kern, Christoph ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7363-4299; Fischer Abaigar, Unai ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4893-2547; Schweisthal, Jonas ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3725-3821; Frauen, Dennis; Ghani, Rayid; Feuerriegel, Stefan ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7856-8729; van der Schaar, Mihaela und Kreuter, Frauke ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7339-2645 (2025): Algorithms for reliable decision-making need causal reasoning. In: Nature Computational Science, Bd. 5, Nr. 5: S. 356-360 [PDF, 628kB]

[thumbnail of This version of the article has been accepted for publication, after peer review but is not the Version of Record and does not reflect post-acceptance improvements, or any corrections. The Version of Record is available at: 10.1038/s43588-025-00814-9]
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This version of the article has been accepted for publication, after peer review but is not the Version of Record and does not reflect post-acceptance improvements, or any corrections. The Version of Record is available at: 10.1038/s43588-025-00814-9
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Abstract

Decision-making inherently involves cause-effect relationships, which introduce causal challenges. We argue that reliable algorithms for decision-making need to build upon causal reasoning. Addressing these causal challenges requires explicit assumptions about the underlying causal structure to ensure identifiability and estimatability, which means that the computational methods must successfully align with decision-making objectives in real-world tasks.

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