Economics > Chairs > CESifo-Professorship for Business Cycle Analysis and Surveys (closed)

2013

Carstensen, Kai; Elstner, Steffen; Paula, Georg (2013): How much did oil market developments contribute to the 2009 recession in Germany? In: Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Vol. 115, No. 3: pp. 695-721

Elsas, Ralf; Carstensen, Kai (2013): EBDC Business Expectations Panel (2012).

Elsas, Ralf; Carstensen, Kai (2013): EBDC Business Innovation Panel (2012).

Elsas, Ralf; Carstensen, Kai (2013): EBDC Business Investment Panel (2012).

2012

Berg, Tim O.; Carstensen, Kai; Horn, Gustav A.; Lamla, Michael J.; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Schnabl, Gunther; Weizsäcker, Carl C. von (2012): Funktionswandel der EZB? In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Vol. 92, No. 2: pp. 79-94

2011

Carstensen, Kai; Elstner, Steffen; Paula, Georg (2011): How strongly did the 2007/08 oil price hike contribute to the subsequent recession? CESifo Working Paper: Monetary Policy and International Finance,

Carstensen, Kai; Schenkelberg, Heike (7. March 2011): Time- or State-Dependence? An Analysis of Inflation Dynamics using German Business Survey Data. Discussion Papers in Economics 2011-5 [PDF, 1MB]

Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina (2011): Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test: A case study for the Euro area industrial production. In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Vol. 231, No. 1: pp. 82-106

2010

Buch, Claudia M.; Carstensen, Kai; Schertler, Andrea (2010): Macroeconomic shocks and banks’ foreign assets. In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 42, No. 1: pp. 171-188

Buchen, Teresa; Carstensen, Kai; Henzel, Steffen; Wollmershäuser, Timo (March 2010): Was kostet die Krise? Mittelfristige Wachstumsperspektiven in Deutschland, 2010 - 2014. Discussion Papers in Economics 2010-15 [PDF, 308kB]

Carstensen, Kai (2010): Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2010: Deutschland im Aufschwung. In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Vol. 90, No. 11: pp. 772-774

Wohlrabe, Klaus; Carstensen, Kai; Ziegler, Christina (2010): Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production. Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2010: Ökonomie der Familie - Session: Forecasting Methods A11-V3

2009

Broda, Simon; Carstensen, Kai; Paolella, Marc S. (2009): Assessing and improving the performance of nearly efficient unit root tests in small samples. In: Econometric Reviews, Vol. 28, No. 5: pp. 468-494

Carstensen, Kai (2009): Im Sog der Weltrezession. In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Vol. 89, No. 5: p. 284

Carstensen, Kai; Gundlach, Erich; Hartmann, Susanne (2009): The augmented Solow model with Mincerian schooling and externalities. In: German Economic Review, Vol. 10, No. 4: pp. 448-463

Carstensen, Kai; Hagen, Jan; Hossfeld, Oliver; Neaves, Abelardo S. (2009): Money demand stability and inflation prediction in the four largest EMU countries. In: Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 56, No. 1: pp. 73-93

Carstensen, Kai; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo (2009): Monetary policy transmission and house prices: European cross-country evidence. CESifo Working Paper,

Carstensen, Kai; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo (2009): Price dispersion in the Euro Area: The case of a symmetric oil price shock. CESifo Working Paper,

2008

Büttner, Thiess; Carstensen, Kai (2008): Stabilisierungsbeitrag der Finanzpolitik. In: Wirtschaftsdienst, Vol. 88, No. 12: pp. 786-789

2007

Broda, Simon; Paolella, Marc S.; Carstensen, Kai (2007): Bias-adjusted estimation in the ARX(1) model. In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, Vol. 51, No. 7: pp. 3355-3367

Carstensen, Kai (2007): Is core money growth a good and stable inflation predictor in the euro area? Kieler Arbeitspapiere,

Carstensen, Kai; Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Scheide, Joachim (2007): Konjunktur im Euroraum außerhalb Deutschlands bleibt aufwärts gerichtet. Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge,

Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Oskamp, Frank; Sander, Birgit; Scheide, Joachim; Carstensen, Kai; Boss, Alfred; Dovern, Jonas; Meier, Carsten-Patrick (2007): Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2007. Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge,

2006

Carstensen, Kai (2006): Estimating the ECB policy reaction function. In: German Economic Review, Vol. 7, No. 1: pp. 1-34

Carstensen, Kai (2006): Stock market downswing and the stability of European monetary union money demand. In: Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 24, No. 4: pp. 395-402

Carstensen, Kai; Gundlach, Erich (2006): The primacy of institutions reconsidered: Direct income effects of malaria prevalence. In: World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 20, No. 3: pp. 309-339

2005

Buch, Claudia M.; Carstensen, Kai; Schertler, Andrea (2005): Macroeconomic Shocks and Foreign Bank Assets. Kieler Arbeitspapiere,

2004

Benner, Joachim; Carstensen, Kai; Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Oskamp, Frank; Scheide, Joachim (2004): Euroland: Konjunktur verliert wieder an Fahrt. In: Die Weltwirtschaft, No. 3: pp. 265-298

Benner, Joachim; Carstensen, Kai; Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Oskamp, Frank; Scheide, Joachim (2004): Euroland: Recovery will slow down. Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge,

Carstensen, Kai (2004): Is European Money Demand Still Stable? Kieler Arbeitspapiere,

Carstensen, Kai; Hansen, Gerd (2004): Inflationary shocks in Germany: A common trends analysis [Inflationäre Schocks in Deutschland: Eine Common Trends Analyse]. In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Vol. 224, No. 3: pp. 271-291

Carstensen, Kai; Toubal, Farid (2004): Foreign direct investment in Central and Eastern European countries: A dynamic panel analysis. In: Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 32, No. 1: pp. 3-22

Colavecchio, Roberta; Carstensen, Kai (2004): Did the Revision of the ECB Monetary Policy Strategy Affect the Reaction Function? Kieler Arbeitspapiere,

2003

Carstensen, Kai (2003): Forecasting Inflation from the Term Structure. In: Review of World Economics, Vol. 139: pp. 306-323

Carstensen, Kai (2003): Nonstationary term premia and cointegration of the term structure. In: Economics Letters, Vol. 80, No. 3: pp. 409-413

Carstensen, Kai (2003): The finite-sample performance of robust unit root tests. In: Statistical Papers, Vol. 44, No. 4: pp. 469-482

Carstensen, Kai; Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Kamps, Christophe; Scheide, Joachim (2003): Euroland: Stagnation wird allmählich überwunden. In: Die Weltwirtschaft, No. 3: pp. 265-298

Carstensen, Kai; Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Kamps, Christophe; Scheide, Joachim (2003): Gradual recovery in Euroland. Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge,

Carstensen, Kai; Hawellek, J. (2003): Forecasting Inflation from the Term Structure. In: Review of World Economics, Vol. 139, No. 2: pp. 306-323

2002

Carstensen, Kai; Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Kamps, Christophe; Scheide, Joachim (2002): Euroland: Aufschwung verzögert sich. In: Die Weltwirtschaft, No. 3: pp. 255-278

Carstensen, Kai; Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Kamps, Christophe; Scheide, Joachim (2002): Euroland: upswing postponed. Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge,

2000

Carstensen, Kai; Hansen, Gerd (2000): Cointegration and common trends on the West German labour market. In: Empirical Economics, Vol. 25, No. 3: pp. 475-493